Nathan and carl are running for the mayor of middletown, in which 60% of the voters favor nathan and 40% support carl. a poll is conducted in which 100 residents, selected at random, are asked their preference. what is the likelihood that the poll will show a majority in favor of carl?

a. 0.3409
b. 0.0068
c. 0.0207
d. 0.1976

C. 0.0207

Step-by-step explanation:

For each person, there are only two possible outcomes. Either they vote for Carl, or they vote for Nathan. So we use the binomial probability distribution.

However, we are working with samples that are considerably big. So i am going to aproximate this binomial distribution to the normal.

Binomial probability distribution

Probability of exactly x sucesses on n repeated trials, with p probability.

Can be approximated to a normal distribution, using the expected value and the standard deviation.

The expected value of the binomial distribution is:

The standard deviation of the binomial distribution is:

Normal probability distribution

Problems of normally distributed samples can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean and standard deviation , the zscore of a measure X is given by:

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

When we are approximating a binomial distribution to a normal one, we have that , .

In this problem, we have that:

What is the likelihood that the poll will show a majority in favor of Carl?

This is 1 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 50. So

has a pvalue of 0.9793. So the answer is 1-0.9793 = 0.0207.

okay so 15.15 *()5: +5/6

step-by-step explanation:

median is the value separating the higher half of a data sample, a population or probablity distribution from the lower half.

step-by-step explanation:

say you have 3,8,7,3,1,9,8 order them from lowest to highest

if orderd it would be 1,3,3,7,8,8,9 now you take away from the lowest and the highest until you end up in the middle.

so you would remove the 1 and 9 leaving you with 5 digits remaining

when you've reached the middle that would be your answer so in this case the answer is 7

if there were two numbers left say 7 and 5 you'd and them together so 12 then divide by 2 witch would equal 6 so the answer would be 6

good luck on that project hoped i you at all