wedding planner does some research and finds that approximately 3.5% of the people in the area where a large wedding is to be held are pollotarian. Treat the 300 guests expected at the wedding as a simple random sample from the local population of about 2,000,000. 18) Suppose the wedding planner assumes that 5% of the guests will be pollotarian so she orders 15 pollotarian meals. What is the approximate probability that more than 5% of the guests are pollotarian and therefore she will not have enough pollotarian meals

0.0793 = 7.93% probability that more than 5% of the guests are pollotarian and therefore she will not have enough pollotarian meals

Step-by-step explanation:

To solve this question, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.

Normal Probability Distribution:

Problems of normal distributions can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean and standard deviation , the z-score of a measure X is given by:

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the p-value, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem estabilishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean and standard deviation , the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation .

For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.

For a proportion p in a sample of size n, the sampling distribution of the sample proportion will be approximately normal with mean and standard deviation

3.5% of the people in the area where a large wedding is to be held are pollotarian.

This means that

300 guests

This means that

Mean and standard deviation:

What is the approximate probability that more than 5% of the guests are pollotarian and therefore she will not have enough pollotarian meals?

This is 1 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 0.05. So

By the Central Limit Theorem

has a pvalue of 0.9207

1 - 0.9207 = 0.0793

0.0793 = 7.93% probability that more than 5% of the guests are pollotarian and therefore she will not have enough pollotarian meals

step-by-step explanation:

part a. the differences are decreasing, so we know the sequence is not arithmetic. the ratios are constant (=3/4), so we know the sequence is geometric.

part b. from part a, we know the common ratio is 3/4, so each term is 3/4 of the one before. the initial term is the number of gallons at h=1.

g[h] = (3/4)·g[h-1]

g[1] = 384 . . . . initial value required for a recursive definition

part c. the general formula for a geometric sequence is

a[n] = a[1]·r^(n-1)

we have a[1] = 384, r = 3/4, and the term number given by h. the formula that follows is

g[h] = 384·(3/4)^(h-1)

part d. filling in the value and doing the arithmetic, we have

g[12] = 384·(3/4)^11 ≈ 384·0.042235136 ≈ 16.2183 . . gallons

part e. each gallon is 4 quarts, so

16.2183 gal × 4 qt/gal = 64.8732 qt

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