Every day Ahmet buys a scratch-off lottery ticket with a 40%, percent chance of winning some prize. He noticed that whenever he wears his red shirt he usually wins. He decided to keep track of his winnings while wearing the shirt and found that he won 3 out of 3 times. Let's test the hypothesis that Ahmet's chance of winning while wearing the shirt is 40%, percent as always versus the alternative that the chance is somehow greater.