Advanced Placement (AP), 03.03.2021 23:50 mmm5398

According to a 2019 poll from Public Policy Polling, 4% of American voters believe that shape-shifting reptilian people control our world by taking on human form and gaining power. Yes, you read that correctly! (This was a poll about conspiracy theories.) Assume that’s the actual proportion of Americans who hold that belief. 1) That same poll found that 51% of American voters believe there was a larger conspiracy responsible for the assassination of President Kennedy. Use a binomial model to calculate the probability that, in a random sample of 700 people, no more than 57% of those in the sample believe in the JFK conspiracy theory.

2) Now use a Normal model to compute that probability.

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