Four analysts cover the stock of fluorine chemical. one forecasts a 6% return for the coming year. the second expects the return to be negative 6%. the third predicts a return of 8%. the fourth expects a 2% return in the coming year. you are relatively confident that the return will be positive but not large, so you arbitrarily assign probabilities of being correct of 35 % comma 8 %, 17 %, and 40%, respectively, to the analysts' forecasts. given these probabilities, what is fluorine chemicals expected return for the coming year