Amanufacturer of printed circuit boards uses exponential smoothing with trend to forecast monthly demand of its product. at the end of december, the company wishes to forecast sales for january. the estimate of trend through november has been 200 additional boards sold per month. average sales have been around 1000 units per month. the demand for december was 1100 units. the company uses α = 0.20 and β = 0.10. make a forecast including trend for the month of january. (round answers to 0 decimal places, e. g. 5,275.)

Your company is starting a new r& d initiative: a development of a new drug that dramatically reduces the addiction to smoking. the expert team estimates the probability of developing the drug succesfully at 60% and a chance of losing the investment of 40%. if the project is successful, your company would earn profits (after deducting the investment) of 9,000 (thousand usd). if the development is unsuccessful, the whole investment will be lost -1,000 (thousand usd). your company's risk preference is given by the expected utility function: u(x) v1000 +x, where x is the monetary outcome of a project. calculate the expected profit of the project . calculate the expected utility of the project . find the certainty equivalent of this r& d initiative . find the risk premium of this r& d initiative e is the company risk-averse, risk-loving or risk-neutral? why do you think so?