Four analysts cover the stock of Fluorine Chemical. One forecasts a 4% return for the coming year. The second expects the return to be negative 6%. The third predicts a return of 10%. The fourth expects a 2% return in the coming year. You are relatively confident that the return will be positive but not large, so you arbitrarily assign probabilities of being correct of 27 % comma 7 %, 18 %, and 48%, respectively, to the analysts' forecasts. Given these probabilities, what is Fluorine Chemical's expected return for the coming year?