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Business, 25.03.2020 06:38 Isaiahplater27

After plotting demand for four periods, an emergency room manager has concluded that a trend-adjusted exponential smoothing model is appropriate to predict future demand. The initial estimate of trend is based on the net change of 30 for the three periods from 1 to 4, for an average of +10 units.

Period Actual Period Actual
1 212
6 263
2 221
7 277
3 227
8 281
4 242
9 292
5 260
10

Use α=0.5 and β=0.1, and TAF of 250 for period 5. Obtain forecasts for periods 6 through 10.

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