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Business, 28.03.2020 03:40 robert7248

You are the CFO of a major pharmaceutical firm. A division manager has presented senior management with an investment opportunity.

The project would require an investment of $95 million today

If the project succeeds, it will be worth $1 billion in a year. You estimate that there is only a 10% chance that the venture would succeed. If it fails, then in a year you will scrap the project and all of your firm’s $95 million investment will be lost.

Whether the venture succeeds or fails is independent of general market conditions.

The risk-free rate is 3%, the expected return of the market is 12%, and the standard deviation of the market return is 20%. Ignore taxes.

What is the NPV of the project?

$775 million

$870 million

$2.1 million

-$95 million

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