Scenario

Mistine is a direct selling cosmetics firm based in Thailand. Originally, it made a name for itself selling an affordable product that was of good quality. It focused mainly on housewives. However, over the years Mistine has expanded its focus, targeting more groups such as teenagers and higher-income women. Unlike many comparable direct selling firms, Mistine engages in much advertising. Its advertising campaigns must be tailored toward the appropriate target market.

Refer to Scenario. Assume that Mistine wants to break into the Kenyan market. It is entering the market for the first time and is unsure about how successful its products will be. Mistine's management team wants to develop a sales forecast for the area. Which of the following would be most appropriate in terms of accuracy?