The month most likely for a hurricane to occur in the northern hemisphere is

August would be the best guess. The warmer waters allow for the hurricanes to build up speed and momentum, causing for more tropical storms to be upgraded

H=   2(area/a+b)h= 2(144/a+b)h= 2(144/18+18)h= 2(144/36)h= 2(4)h=8

Water flows along the east coast and across the western tropical pacific towards south america, while they both are directed towards that way,  el niño does not directly affect the southern flow of water along the coast.