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Mathematics, 02.08.2019 17:20 tttyson

Supposed there are 3 men who are all owners of their own smarties factories. burr kelly, being the brightest and most innovative of the men, produces considerably more smarties than his competitors and has a commanding 45% of the market share. yousef see, who inherited his riches, lags behind burr and produces 35% of the world’s smarties. finally stan furd, brings up the rear with a measly 20%. however, a recent string of smarties related food poisoning has forced the fda investigate these factories to find the root of the problem. through his investigations, the inspector found that one smarty out of every 100 at kelly’s factory was poisonous. at see’s factory, 1.5% of smarties produced were poisonous. and at furd’s factory, the probability a smarty was poisonous was 0.02.(a) what is the probability that a randomly selected smarty will be safe to eat?
(b) if we know that a certain smarty didn’t come from burr kelly’s factory, what is the probability that this smarty is poisonous? (c) given this information, if a randomly selected smarty is poisonous, what is the probability it came from stan furd’s smarties factory?

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