The article "Students Increasingly Turn to Credit Cards" (San Luis Obispo Tribune, July 21, 2006) reported that 37% of college freshmen and 48% of college seniors carry a credit card balance from month to month. Suppose that the reported percentages were based on random samples of 1000 college freshmen and 1000 college seniors. a. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the proportion of college freshmen who carry a credit card balance from month to month. b. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the proportion of college seniors who carry a credit card balance from month to month. c. Explain why the two 90% confidence intervals from Parts (a) and (b) are not the same width.

Step-by-step explanation:

Hello!

There are two variables of interest:

X₁: number of college freshmen that carry a credit card balance.

n₁= 1000

p'₁= 0.37

X₂: number of college seniors that carry a credit card balance.

n₂= 1000

p'₂= 0.48

a. You need to construct a 90% CI for the proportion of freshmen  who carry a credit card balance.

The formula for the interval is:

p'₁±

0.37±1.648*

0.37±1.648*0.015

[0.35;0.39]

With a confidence level of 90%, you'd expect that the interval [0.35;0.39] contains the proportion of college freshmen students that carry a credit card balance.

b. In this item, you have to estimate the proportion of senior students that carry a credit card balance. Since we work with the standard normal approximation and the same confidence level, the Z value is the same: 1.648

The formula for this interval is

p'₂±

0.48±1.648*

0.48±1.648*0.016

[0.45;0.51]

With a confidence level of 90%, you'd expect that the interval [0.45;0.51] contains the proportion of college seniors that carry a credit card balance.

c. The difference between the width two 90% confidence intervals is given by the standard deviation of each sample.

Freshmen:

Seniors:

The interval corresponding to the senior students has a greater standard deviation than the interval corresponding to the freshmen students, that is why the amplitude of its interval is greater.

answer: -8.2562234e+13

85.560%

step-by-step explanation:

conditional probability is defined as:

p(a|b) = p(a∩b) / p(b)

in other words, the probability that a occurs, given that b has occurred = the probability that both a and b occur / the probability that b occurs.

in this example:

p(turns 64 | turns 44) = p(turns 64 & turns 44) / p(turns 44).

if someone turns 64, they must have already turned 44, so:

p(turns 64 | turns 44) = p(turns 64) / p(turns 44)

on page 42, we see that of the original 100,000, 94944 turn 44, and 81234 turn 64.   therefore:

p(turns 64 | turns 44) = 81234 / 94944

p(turns 64 | turns 44) = 0.85560