Mathematics, 10.03.2020 04:30 cassandrabeliles
Example 4.5 introduced the concept of time headway in traffic flow and proposed a particular distribution for X 5 the headway between two randomly selected consecutive cars (sec). Suppose that in a different traffic environment, the distribution of time headway has the form f(x) 5 5 k x4 x . 1 0 x # 1 a. Determine the value of k for which f (x) is a legitimate pdf. b. Obtain the cumulative distribution function. c. Use the cdf from (b) to determine the probability that headway exceeds 2 sec and also the probability that headway is between 2 and 3 sec. d. Obtain the mean value of headway and the standard deviation of headway. e. What is the probability that headway is within 1 standard deviation of the mean value?
Answers: 3
![\int\limits^{1}_{-\infty} f(x)dx + \int\limits^{\infty}_{1} f(x)dx=1\\0 + \int\limits^{\infty}_{1} {\frac{k}{x^4}}.dx=1\\0 + k \int\limits^{\infty}_{1} {\frac{1}{x^4}}.dx=1\\k[\frac{x^{-3}}{-3}]^{\infty}_1=1\\k[0-(\frac{1}{-3})]=1\\\frac{k}{3}=1\\k=3](/tpl/images/0539/9455/edc5e.png)
![F(x) = 0 + \int\limits^x_1 {\frac{k}{x^4}}.dx\\= 0 + \int\limits^x_1 3x^{-4}.dx\\= 3 \int\limits^x_1 x^{-4}dx\\= 3[\frac{x^{-4+1}}{-4+1}]^3_1\\= 3[\frac{x^{-3}}{-3}]^3_1\\=(\frac{-1}{x^3})|^x_1\\=(-\frac{1}{x^3}-(\frac{-1}{1}))=1- \frac{1}{x^3}=1-x^{-3}](/tpl/images/0539/9455/0e29d.png)
![P(X2)=1-P(X\leq 2)\\=1-F(2)\\=1-[1-2^{-3}]\\=1-(1- \frac{1}{8})\\=\frac{1}{8} = 0.125](/tpl/images/0539/9455/601d6.png)
![E(X)=\int\limits x * f(x)dx\\=\int\limits^{\infty}_1 x(3x^{-4})dx\\=3 \int\limits^{\infty}_1 x(x^{-4})dx\\=3 \int\limits^{\infty}_1 x^{-3}dx\\=3[\frac{x^{-3+1}}{-3+1}]^{\infty}_1\\=3[\frac{x^{-2}}{-2}]^{\infty}_1\\=3[\frac{1}{-2x^2}]^{\infty}_1\\=3[- \frac{1}{2x^2}]^{\infty}_1\\=3[- \frac{1}{2(\infty)^2}- (- \frac{1}{2(1)^2})]\\=3(\frac{1}{2})=1.5](/tpl/images/0539/9455/35d64.png)
![E(X^2)= \int\limits^{\infty}_1 x^2(3x^{-4})dx\\=3 \int\limits^{\infty}_1 x^{-2} dx\\=3[- \frac{1}{x}]^{\infty}_1\\=3(- \frac{1}{\infty}+1)=3](/tpl/images/0539/9455/e1f01.png)
![= \sqrt{V(X)}\\ =\sqrt{E(X^2)-[E(X)]^2} \\=\sqrt{3-(1.5)^2} \\=0.8660254](/tpl/images/0539/9455/83f64.png)
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