Run your cell 7 times to manually estimate the chance that Alice succeeds at this action. (Don't use math or an extended simulation.). Your answer should bea fraction. In [ ]:rough_success_chance = 1/7In [ ]:_ = ok. grade('q1_2') Suppose we don't know that Roga has a modifier of 11 for this action. Instead, we observe the modified roll (that is, the die roll plus the modifier of 11) from each of 7 ofher attempts to knock down doors. We would like to estimate her modifier from these 7 numbers.