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Mathematics, 04.04.2020 11:04 12335589

Moose Drool Makes Grass More Appetizing Different species can interact in interesting ways. One type of grass produces the toxin ergovaline at levels about 1.0 part per million in order to keep grazing animals away. However, a recent study27 has found that the saliva from a moose counteracts these toxins and makes the grass more appetizing (for the moose). Scientists estimate that, after treatment with moose drool, mean level of the toxin ergovaline (in ppm) on the grass is 0.183. The standard error for this estimate is 0.016.

Give notation for the quantity being estimated, and define any parameters used.

Give notation for the quantity that gives the best estimate, and give its value.

Give a 95% confidence interval for the quantity being estimated. Interpret the interval in context.

3.68 Bisphenol A in Your Soup Cans Bisphenol A (BPA) is in the lining of most canned goods, and recent studies have shown a positive association between BPA exposure and behavior and health problems. How much does canned soup consumption increase urinary BPA concentration? That was the question addressed in a recent study34 in which consumption of canned soup over five days was associated with a more than 1000% increase in urinary BPA. In the study, 75 participants ate either canned soup or fresh soup for lunch for five days. On the fifth day, urinary BPA levels were measured. After a two-day break, the participants switched groups and repeated the process. The difference in BPA levels between the two treatments was measured for each participant. The study reports that a 95% confidence interval for the difference in means (canned minus fresh) is 19.6 to 25.5 μg/L.

Is this a randomized comparative experiment or a matched pairs experiment? Why might this type of experiment have been used?

What parameter are we estimating?

Interpret the confidence interval in terms of BPA concentrations.

If the study had included 500 participants instead of 75, would you expect the confidence interval to be wider or narrower?

3.70 Effect of Overeating for One Month: Average Long-Term Weight Gain Overeating for just four weeks can increase fat mass and weight over two years later, a Swedish study shows.35 Researchers recruited 18 healthy and normal-weight people with an average age of 26. For a four-week period, participants increased calorie intake by 70% (mostly by eating fast food) and limited daily activity to a maximum of 5000 steps per day (considered sedentary). Not surprisingly, weight and body fat of the participants went up significantly during the study and then decreased after the study ended. Participants are believed to have returned to the diet and lifestyle they had before the experiment. However, two and a half years after the experiment, the mean weight gain for participants was 6.8 lbs with a standard error of 1.2 lbs. A control group that did not binge had no change in weight.

What is the relevant parameter?

How could we find the actual exact value of the parameter?

Give a 95% confidence interval for the parameter and interpret it.

Give the margin of error and interpret it.

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