Consider a population of voters. suppose that that there are n=1000 voters in the population, 30% of whom favor jones. identify the event favors jones as a success s. it is evident that the probability of s on trial 1 is 0.30. consider the event b that s occurs on the second trial. then b can occur two ways: the first two trials are both successes or the first trial is a failure and the second is a success. show that p(b) = 0.3