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Mathematics, 21.04.2020 18:20 taylordalton93

Walter owns a company that manufactures pens. There is a 6% chance of a pen being faulty in a batch. He wants to know the probability of it taking at least 25 batches for a pen to be faulty. Which simulation can best be used to compute the probability?
Model A: Flip a coin. For one trial, flip the coin 25 times. Count the trial if, only on the 25th flip, it lands on tails. Repeat this process for 100 trials.
Model B: Use a spinner with 16 different colors of equal area. For one trial, spin the spinner until it lands on light green. Count the trial if the spinner lands on light green on the 25th or later spin. Repeat this process for 20 trials.
Model C: Draw a marble from a bag containing eleven different-colored marbles. For one trial, draw the marbles, with replacement, until the purple marble is drawn. Count the trial if the purple marble is drawn on the 25th draw or later. Repeat the process for 100 trials.
Model D: Draw a card from a box containing index cards labeled from 1 to 16. For one trial, draw the cards, with replacement, until the number 1 card is drawn. Count the trial if the number 1 card is drawn on the 25th draw or later. Repeat the process for 200 trials.

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