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Mathematics, 13.06.2020 03:57 bobokitty

Three friends — let’s call them X, Y , and Z — like to play pool (pocket billiards). There are some pool games that involve three players, but these people instead like to play 9-ball, which is a game between two players with the property that a tie cannot occur (there’s always a winner and a loser in any given round). Since it’s not possible for all three of these friends to play at the same time, they use a simple rule to decide who plays in the next round: loser sits down. For example, suppose that, in round 1, X and Y play; then if X wins, Y sits down and the next game is between X and Z. Question: in the long run, which two players square off against each other most often? Least often? So far what I’ve described is completely realistic, but now we need to make a (strong) simplifying assumption. In practice people get tired and/or discouraged, so the probability that (say) X beats Y in any single round is probably not constant in time, but let’s pretend it is, to get a kind of baseline analysis: let 0 < pXY < 1 be the probability that X beats Y in any given game, and define 0 < pXZ < 1 and 0 < pY Z < 1 correspondingly. Consider the stochastic process P that keeps track of

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