assume the carrying capacity of the earth is 21 billion. use the 1960s peak annual growth rate of 2.1% and population of 3 billion to predict the base growth rate and current growth rate with a logistic model. Assume a current population of 6.8 billion. How does the predicted growth rate compare to the actual growth rate of about 1.2% per year?

current population growth rate would be -3.1%

Step-by-step explanation:

We have to:

Growth rate = r * (1 - population / carrying capacity)

for 1960,

we have carrying capacity = 21 billion

population = 3 billion

r = Growth rate 1960 / (1 - population / carrying capacity)

replacing:

r = 0.021 / (1 - 3/21)

r = 0.0245

that is to say r = 2.45%

Now the current population would be:

= 0.0245 * (1 - carrying population / carrying capacity)

we replace:

= 0.0245 * (1 - 6.8 / 3)

= -0.031

current population growth rate would be -3.1%

do your own work and don"t cheat.

step-by-step explanation:

85.560%

step-by-step explanation:

conditional probability is defined as:

p(a|b) = p(a∩b) / p(b)

in other words, the probability that a occurs, given that b has occurred = the probability that both a and b occur / the probability that b occurs.

in this example:

p(turns 64 | turns 44) = p(turns 64 & turns 44) / p(turns 44).

if someone turns 64, they must have already turned 44, so:

p(turns 64 | turns 44) = p(turns 64) / p(turns 44)

on page 42, we see that of the original 100,000, 94944 turn 44, and 81234 turn 64.   therefore:

p(turns 64 | turns 44) = 81234 / 94944

p(turns 64 | turns 44) = 0.85560