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Mathematics, 16.01.2021 01:00 ricksterv5000

A thief who is particularly knowledgeable about statistics and the legal system determines that if he commits a given heist the probability that he is never caught is 60%. If he is arrested he will go to trial where there is a 30% chance the jury will acquit him, a 30% chance he is convicted and serves a prison sentence less than five years, and a 40% chance the sentence is more than five years. What is the probability that the thief is not imprisoned in 5 years?

What is the probability that the thief was arrested given that he is not imprisoned in 5 years?

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