You have a bag of 15 marbles. 8 are red. 5 are blue. 2 are green. You asked 15 people to pull a random marble and replace it. The outcome was that 10 got red, 4 got blue and 1 got green. Joe thinks if 15 more people try 8 will pull red. Jill thinks if 15 more people try 10 will pull red. Choose the most accurate statement. a
Joe is right because the theoretical probability is better.
b
Jill is right because the experimental probability is better.
c
We don't know what will happen, but both Joe and Jane are making good, educated assumptions.
d
We don't know what will happen because anything is possible and there is not point in calculating probabilities. Whatever happens, happens.
e
6 people will pull red to average out to 8. The long term average must match the theoretical probability.