A program was created to randomly choose customers at a sporting goods store to receive a discount. The program claims 25% of the receipts will get a discount in the long run. The manager of the sporting goods store is skeptical and believes the program's calculations are incorrect. She selects a random sample and finds that 22% received the discount. The confidence interval is 0.22 ± 0.04 with all conditions for inference met. Part A: Using the given confidence interval, is it statistically evident that the program is not working? Explain. (3 points)

Part B: Is it statistically evident from the confidence interval that the program creates the discount with a 0.25 probability? Explain. (2 points)

Part C: Another random sample of receipts is taken. This sample is four times the size of the original. Twenty-two percent of the receipts in the second sample received the discount. What is the value of margin of error based on the second sample with the same confidence level as the original interval? (2 points)

Part D: Using the margin of error from the second sample in part C, is the program working as planned? Explain. (3 points)

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Step-by-step explanation:

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A: We know that the confidence interval is 0.22 ± 0.04, this equals .22 plus .04, .22 minus .44, or (.18,.26). Because of the fact that .25 is in the range of (.18,.26), there is no statistical evidence that the program is not working as intended.

B: As we established earlier, .25 is within the range of (.18,.26). This means that there is statistical evidence that the program makes the discount with a .25 probability.

C: To solve this problem, we need to use the margin of error formula. The margin of error formula is z times the square rout of p-hat times 1 minus p hat over n. From this formula we see that the me is inversely proportional to the square rout of the sample size. Because this is the case, the new me value is determined by dividing the old me value by 2 because of the fact that the proportion of p is 22%. This means that the new me is equal to .04/2, which equals .02, which means that the new margin of error is .02.

D: We know using the new me that the new CI is .22 ± .02. This also equals .22 plus .02, .22 minus .02, or (.2,.24) Because .25 is not within the range of (.2,.24), there is not statistical evidence that the program is working as intended.  

Step-by-step explanation:

Your welcome

TyrantMC

here we can see that the storage increases

at certain times of the year - during the

warmer months, when the gas is not much

used for heating and reserves can be

increased - and then decreases during the

colder months because the supply is being

used. it is possible to model this with a

relatively simple trigonometric graph, but

first we examine the simplest trig curves.

065/065.html

the basics

the simplest sine and cosine curves can be generated by plotting the trig-function values

against the angles used in each function. the values can be found in the chart below:

ø (˚) 0 30 45 60 90 120 135 150 180 210 225 240 270 300 315 330 360

sin ø

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0 1

2

2

2 3

2 1 3

2 2

2 1

2

0 − 1

2

− 2

2 − 3

2 − 1 − 3

2 − 2

2 − 1

2

0

cos ø

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1 3

2 2

2 1

2 0 − 1

2

− 2

2 − 3

2 − 1 − 3

2 − 2

2 − 1

2

0 1

2 2

2 3

2 1

first we plot the sine data, letting the x-axis represent the angles and the y-axis the sine

values. the result is the scatter plot below.

based on just these 17 data points, we can see

that the function is following a straightforward

pattern - the sine values are increasing to 1,

decreasing through the same values to -1, then

returning to zero. when we connect the dots, we

get the periodic curve y = sin (x) below.

this “sine curve,” with equation

y = sin(x), is the simplest of trig

graphs. the curve rises and falls by

one unit from its “axis of

oscillation” - in this case, the x-axis

- and after we cycle through 360˚ it

appears we are ready to go through

the same y-values again. we can see

this same pattern in the cosine

function on the following page.

each sine and cosine curve has two basic characteristics:

amplitude - distance the curve rises above, and falls below, its axis of oscillation (marked by

the vertical arrows on the cosine graph). the formula is

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amp = max− min

2 .

period - the length of one cycle (marked by the horizontal arrows on the cosine graph).

this can be calculated by measuring the distance between any successive maximum

points (or minimum points), or by doubling the horizontal distance between a

minimum and the next maximum.

for our first two curves, then, the amplitude is 1 and the period is 360˚ (or 2! if we are in radians).

adjusting the amplitude and frequency: y = a sin(bx), y = a cos(bx)

now that we have our “base” amplitude and frequency . . let’s change them. we can adjust both

characteristics by introducing the parameters a and b into the equations. the graph below shows the

curves y = a sin(x) for a = 1,2,3, and -0.5, with the original curve y = sin(x) being the thickest line.

clearly the amplitude of the curves has changed;

when a = 2, the amplitude is 2; when a = 3, the

amplitude is 3; and when a = -0.5 the amplitude is

0.5 (since amplitude, a distance, must be positive).

however, this last curve has also been flipped upside

down (or “reflected in the x-axis”). since the

amplitude must be positive even when a itself is

negative, we have the formula

amplitude = | a |.

the relationship between the b-value and the

period is not so straightforward. on the right

we have y = cos(bx) for b = 1,3, and 0.5. (the

thickest line is again our “base” curve.) when

b=3, the period decreases to 120˚; when

b=0.5, the period increases to 720˚ (so only

half the curve is shown here). we can describe

this reciprocal relationship with the formula

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b = 360

period or

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b = 2π

period ,

using the latter if we are working in radians.

shifting horizontally and vertically: y = sin(x-h) + k, y = cos(x-h) + k

to shift (or “translate”) a curve along either the x- or y-axis (or both), we introduce the parameters

h and k. below we have the graph of y = sin (x - 30) + 2 and y = sin(x). (note that we have returned

to an amplitude of 1 and period of 360˚). our original

curve y = sin(x) had its peak at the point (90,1); the

shifted curve has its corresponding peak at (120, 3). in

the same way, the original curve had a minimum value

at (270, -1); now the minimum is at (300,1). and

finally, the axis of oscillation has shifted vertically

from the line x = 0 to the line x =2. in other words, our

new curve has been created by shifting y = sin(x) right

30 and u p 2. and, in general, we can create the

following shifts:

horizontal shift = h (left if h < 0, right if h > 0)

vertical shift/new axis of oscillation = k.

modelling data: y = a sin[b(x-h)] + k, y = a cos[b(x-h)] + k

we have seen how the basic sine and cosine curves can be adjusted: by changing the amplitude

and period, and by shifting the curves horizontally and vertically. a summary is below.

amplitude = | a | vertical shift/axis of oscillation = k

period =

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360

b

or

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2π

b