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Mathematics, 21.09.2021 22:50 imelda249

Three prisoners are informed by their jailer that one of them has been chosen at random to be executed, and the other two are to be freed. Prisoner A asks the jailer to tell him privately which of his fellow prisoners will be set free (with the assumption that the jailer will randomize between B and C if A is the unfortunate soul). A claims that there would be no harm in divulging this information, since he already knows that at least one will go free. The jailer refuses by arguing that if A knew, A’s probability of being executed would rise from 1/3 to 1/2 (i. e., there would only be two prisoners left). Who is correct?

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