What is the approximate probability that next years temperature ( year 16) will be in the 90s?

Surface data come from land-based weather stations. Satellite measurements cover the lower troposphere, which is the lowest level of the Earth’s atmosphere. “UAH” and “RSS” represent two different methods of analyzing the original satellite measurements. This graph uses the 1901–2000 average as a baseline for depicting change. Choosing a different baseline period would not change the shape of the data over time.

The probability would most likely be 0.47 because I found a graph and it had 4 different answers I did some work and found out that the answer should be 0.47 :)