Psychologist philip tetlock collected more than 27,000 expert predictions of world events. he repeatedly found that experts were percent confident in their prediction but were correct less than percent of the time.

What is the first half of church mass called?

How does désir represent the diversity of europe today? how did the 1400s and 1500s affect the religious diversity of europe? how might cultural diversity in a place like germany affect everyday life? what are two reasons some europeans might find immigration to be an advantage? what are two reasons some might find it to be a disadvantage? why do you think languages and culture spread more easily in europe now than in the past?

Aresearcher conducts a focus group to learn about attitudes towards hygiene and disease prevention. two weeks after the focus group, the researcher learns one of the subjects had a heart attack at home and was hospitalized, but made a full recovery. based on dhs regulations, the researcher report this event to the irb? no, this does not need to be reported since the subject had the heart attack when they were home, not at the focus group.no, this does not need to be reported since it is unrelated to participation in the study.no, this does not need to be reported because two weeks have passed.no, this does not need to be reported since the subject recovered.